Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.920979 1.037274 1.164158 1.313127 1.483551 1.672801 1.899382
2025-01-19 0.707861 0.856904 1.033009 1.257447 1.537308 1.876616 2.321952
2025-01-26 0.620677 0.788258 0.997107 1.278515 1.650829 2.130754 2.803046
2025-02-02 0.560072 0.739553 0.973187 1.302799 1.760976 2.382895 3.303905
2025-02-09 0.508524 0.694035 0.944637 1.312423 1.846020 2.603769 3.782441
2025-02-16 0.465706 0.654338 0.917635 1.317869 1.921261 2.813827 4.265878
2025-02-23 0.435464 0.628400 0.905953 1.341841 2.022984 3.070047 4.847565
2025-03-02 0.394707 0.582763 0.860406 1.308906 2.031983 3.181583 5.208010
2025-03-09 0.373997 0.564893 0.854115 1.334729 2.134381 3.449965 5.860030
2025-03-16 0.346827 0.534472 0.825346 1.321019 2.169287 3.608462 6.338575
2025-03-23 0.328357 0.516021 0.813516 1.333181 2.247638 3.847341 6.989976
2025-03-30 0.305725 0.488929 0.785230 1.314455 2.269467 3.987210 7.471358
2025-04-06 0.286464 0.466303 0.763135 1.305464 2.309670 4.168319 8.065217
2025-04-13 0.260761 0.430988 0.716935 1.249759 2.258774 4.173730 8.307640
2025-04-20 0.250393 0.421050 0.713481 1.270723 2.353418 4.468228 9.190268
2025-04-27 0.241367 0.412691 0.711977 1.294838 2.456081 4.789399 10.176179
2025-05-04 0.230898 0.400939 0.703352 1.304398 2.530372 5.060310 11.088918
2025-05-11 0.220688 0.388884 0.693165 1.309806 2.596351 5.320532 12.014861
2025-05-18 0.213684 0.382198 0.692391 1.333616 2.702810 5.679891 13.232721
2025-05-25 0.200088 0.362232 0.664939 1.300905 2.684872 5.760411 13.771564
2025-06-01 0.194521 0.357141 0.665765 1.326552 2.796912 6.149522 15.159797
2025-06-08 0.184830 0.343435 0.648688 1.312936 2.819545 6.331880 16.031205
2025-06-15 0.178632 0.336147 0.643836 1.325015 2.901882 6.666425 17.370744